Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.174037 0.206919 0.243831 0.288265 0.340235 0.399021 0.470488
2025-05-18 0.119871 0.160172 0.210462 0.277544 0.364370 0.472614 0.617417
2025-05-25 0.088575 0.129351 0.184471 0.263858 0.374601 0.522826 0.735323
2025-06-01 0.073136 0.114904 0.175179 0.267566 0.404440 0.598313 0.891897
2025-06-08 0.058727 0.098555 0.159506 0.258256 0.412557 0.642257 1.007129
2025-06-15 0.051150 0.090976 0.155141 0.264251 0.442787 0.720185 1.179236
2025-06-22 0.044266 0.083129 0.148820 0.265640 0.465083 0.787348 1.340922
2025-06-29 0.037828 0.074824 0.140274 0.261702 0.477460 0.839110 1.482315
2025-07-06 0.032604 0.067749 0.132666 0.258007 0.489206 0.890216 1.626824
2025-07-13 0.030072 0.065326 0.133015 0.268450 0.526721 0.988455 1.861110
2025-07-20 0.028948 0.065489 0.138165 0.288355 0.583500 1.125719 2.176994
2025-07-27 0.026898 0.063373 0.138516 0.298873 0.623505 1.236127 2.454098
2025-08-03 0.023545 0.058091 0.132147 0.296011 0.639000 1.305978 2.669638
2025-08-10 0.019962 0.051665 0.122481 0.285119 0.637380 1.343684 2.829410
2025-08-17 0.016720 0.045392 0.112109 0.271090 0.627222 1.363066 2.954594
2025-08-24 0.015161 0.042939 0.109951 0.274895 0.655438 1.462588 3.251068
2025-08-31 0.013006 0.038525 0.102476 0.265344 0.652874 1.497615 3.417063
2025-09-07 0.012001 0.036977 0.101696 0.271494 0.686511 1.612851 3.763980
2025-09-14 0.010871 0.034859 0.099143 0.272919 0.709219 1.706347 4.072482
2025-09-21 0.009632 0.032173 0.094686 0.268880 0.718276 1.770091 4.320879
2025-09-28 0.008559 0.029759 0.090563 0.265089 0.727407 1.834759 4.577344
2025-10-05 0.008142 0.029309 0.091803 0.275801 0.774367 1.992323 5.063381
2025-10-12 0.008077 0.029986 0.096355 0.296218 0.848704 2.222029 5.739826